{"id":319,"date":"2024-06-14T21:29:38","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:29:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?p=319"},"modified":"2024-06-14T21:29:38","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:29:38","slug":"arms-race-modeling-causality-analysis-and-model-specification-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?p=319","title":{"rendered":"Arms Race Modeling: Causality Analysis and Model Specification"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"taxonomy-post_tag wp-block-post-terms\"><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__prefix\">Tags: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=arms-race\" rel=\"tag\">ARMS RACE<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=conflict-processes-analysis\" rel=\"tag\">CONFLICT PROCESSES ANALYSIS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=distributed-lag-model\" rel=\"tag\">DISTRIBUTED LAG MODEL<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=model-specification\" rel=\"tag\">MODEL SPECIFICATION<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=quantitative-methods\" rel=\"tag\">QUANTITATIVE METHODS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=statistical-causality-analysis\" rel=\"tag\">STATISTICAL CAUSALITY ANALYSIS<\/a><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"taxonomy-category wp-block-post-terms\"><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__prefix\">Literature Groups: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?cat=11\" rel=\"tag\">CONFLICT PROCESSES ANALYSIS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?cat=12\" rel=\"tag\">QUANTITATIVE METHODS<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Author: Stephen J. Majeski, David L. Jones <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Publisher\/Publication: Journal of Conflict Resolution<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Volume\/Issue: 25 (2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DOI\/ISBN: 10.1177\/002200278102500203<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Abstract: Stephen J. Majeski and David L. Jones in this research paper explore the dynamics of arms races and the inadequacy of the Richardson model specification in the study of arm races. The authors employ a methodology called \u201cstatistical causality analysis\u201d to explore the issues of interdependence and independence of arms expenditures in twelve pairs of arms expenditure series which are commonly proposed as arms races. They find that arms expenditures are independent in a majority of the twelve cases examined. For those cases where interdependence is found, those which exhibit arms competition, the traditional Richardson model specification is not empirically supported. Finally, they provide a specific methodology for improved model specification derived from a general distributed lag model for any proposed arms race. Part of the early conflict processes literature trying to evaluate the Richardson model and a reaction to the work of Wallace.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Author: Stephen J. Majeski, David L. Jones<br \/>\nPublisher\/Publication: Journal of Conflict Resolution<br \/>\nVolume\/Issue: 25 (2)<br \/>\nDOI\/ISBN: 10.1177\/002200278102500203<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11,12],"tags":[110,130,161,160,145,118],"class_list":["post-319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conflict-processes-analysis","category-quantitative-methods","tag-arms-race","tag-conflict-processes-analysis","tag-distributed-lag-model","tag-model-specification","tag-quantitative-methods","tag-statistical-causality-analysis"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false,"sow-carousel-default":false,"sow-blog-portfolio":false,"sow-blog-grid":false,"sow-blog-alternate":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Arcade Team","author_link":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?author=1"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Author: Stephen J. Majeski, David L. Jones Publisher\/Publication: Journal of Conflict Resolution Volume\/Issue: 25 (2) DOI\/ISBN: 10.1177\/002200278102500203","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=319"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":320,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/319\/revisions\/320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}