{"id":321,"date":"2024-06-14T21:31:24","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?p=321"},"modified":"2024-06-14T21:31:24","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:31:24","slug":"expectations-and-arms-races","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?p=321","title":{"rendered":"Expectations and arms races"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"taxonomy-post_tag wp-block-post-terms\"><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__prefix\">Tags: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=arms-race\" rel=\"tag\">ARMS RACE<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=causality-analysis\" rel=\"tag\">CAUSALITY ANALYSIS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=conflict-processes-analysis\" rel=\"tag\">CONFLICT PROCESSES ANALYSIS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?tag=richardson-model\" rel=\"tag\">RICHARDSON MODEL<\/a><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"taxonomy-category wp-block-post-terms\"><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__prefix\">Literature Groups: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?cat=11\" rel=\"tag\">CONFLICT PROCESSES ANALYSIS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?cat=12\" rel=\"tag\">QUANTITATIVE METHODS<\/a><span class=\"wp-block-post-terms__separator\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?cat=77\" rel=\"tag\">WALLACE-DIEHL DEBATE<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Author: Stephen J. Majeski<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Publisher\/Publication: American Journal of Political Science<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Volume\/Issue: 29 (2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DOI\/ISBN: 10.2307\/2111164<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Abstract: The author in this paper examines the role of expectations in arms race dynamics, and argues that expectations of the opponent\u2019s current and future military expenditures are important factors that influence the arms acquisition decisions of the participants. He develops and tests several models of expectation formation, such as extrapolative, Richardsonian, and adaptive expectations, using time-series data from six contemporary arms races. The results suggest that expectations and prior expectation errors do play a significant role in arms race processes, and that the races are asymmetric, meaning that only one nation reacts to the other. The author also discuss the implications of these findings for the security and stability of the regions involved in the arms races. Part of Majeski\u2019s work on evaluating the Richardson model and reacting to the Wallace-Diehl Debate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Author: Stephen J. Majeski<br \/>\nPublisher\/Publication: American Journal of Political Science<br \/>\nVolume\/Issue: 29 (2)<br \/>\nDOI\/ISBN: 10.2307\/2111164<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11,12,77],"tags":[110,162,130,117],"class_list":["post-321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conflict-processes-analysis","category-quantitative-methods","category-wallace-diehl-debate","tag-arms-race","tag-causality-analysis","tag-conflict-processes-analysis","tag-richardson-model"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false,"sow-carousel-default":false,"sow-blog-portfolio":false,"sow-blog-grid":false,"sow-blog-alternate":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Arcade Team","author_link":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/?author=1"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Author: Stephen J. Majeski Publisher\/Publication: American Journal of Political Science Volume\/Issue: 29 (2) DOI\/ISBN: 10.2307\/2111164","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=321"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":322,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321\/revisions\/322"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.arcadeproject.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}