Threat-perception and the armament-tension dilemma

Literature Groups: , ,

Author: J. D. Singer

 Publisher/Publication: The Journal of Conflict Resolution

 Volume/Issue: 2 (1)

Abstract: In this paper, Singer, critiques the doctrine “if you want peace, prepare for war”, arguing it is flawed and escalates the arms race, especially in the context of the nuclear arms race between the Soviet and Western blocs. The author explores how threat-perception influences decision-making and public opinion, exacerbating tensions. He evaluates three approaches to reduce tensions: cultural exchanges, diplomacy and disarmament, and moreover, he proposes a nuanced understanding of threat-perception and its relation to military capability and intent. Finally, he calls for a new approach combining four disarmament alternatives and emphasizes the need for a change in attitude to avoid a nuclear catastrophe. We can consider this one of the early antecedents of the Steps to War argument on the role of the “if you want war, prepare for peace” maxim in fostering conflict.

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