Arms Racing, Military Build-Ups and Dispute Intensity: Evidence from the Greek-Turkish Rivalry, 1985-2020

Literature Groups: ,

Author: Ioannis Choulis, Marius Mehrl, Kostas Ifantis

Publisher/Publication: Defence and Peace Economics

Volume/Issue: 33 (7)

DOI/ISBN: 10.1080/10242694.2021.1933312

Abstract: The authors in this article suggest a novel approach to study the effect of military build-ups on dispute intensity, using monthly data on Turkish incursions into Greek-claimed airspace. The authors claim that increased Greek military capabilities deter incursions whereas increased Turkish military capabilities fuel them. It is an attempt to overcome the stalemate noted by Brauer in the econometric analysis of the Greek-Turkish arms race dynamics.

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